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The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond may exceed 5%.
Jin10 reported on May 16 that Mark Dowding, Chief Investment Officer of BlueBay Asset Management, stated in a report that he believes there is room for the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield to break above 5%. This will reflect, to some extent, that concerns about a recession are fading, but it also reflects bond investors' worries about the U.S. budget. BlueBay believes that a 10-year U.S. Treasury yield of 4.5% is reasonable, but it could rise to higher levels. The risk of longer-term Treasury yields rising is greater.