Goldman Sachs: If the rate cut dream shatters, short-term US Treasury yields may face Rebound risk.

Jin10 data reports on May 12 that Goldman Sachs economists pointed out in a report that their fundamental judgment on the U.S. economy still supports the core view that "short-term U.S. Treasury yields will decline and the yield curve will eventually steepen." However, if there is a lack of conclusive economic data to support the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations, market pricing for rate cuts may continue to weaken in the short term. "If, in the current context of high inflation and economic data not being poor enough to prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, market confidence in the space for rate cuts gradually fades, then as government debt continues to accumulate, the term premium may face greater upward pressure, thereby pushing yields higher."