EIA Refinery Stocks in the U.S. for the Week Ending April 25

Natural Gas pushes higher even as supply issues ease Natural Gas prices are ticking up this Tuesday in a weird counterintuitive move as headlines about easing supply issues would suggest a decline. US Natural Gas futures are rallying, while European futures sink lower. With gas supply from Norway expected to be restored soon and mild temperatures in Europe, the current squeeze higher for Natural Gas could be short-lived. Meanwhile, the US Dollar waits for the move from the US Federal Reserve on Wednesday. The US central bank is expected to keep rates unchanged, though there is a risk of a very hawkish statement that could strengthen the US Dollar. In Asia, economic data out of China suggests that the world’s second-largest economy is gaining traction, a recovery that could lead to a pickup in gas demand in the medium-term. >Natural Gas news and market movers -In the energy space - Brent Crude oil jumps above $95 per barrel. -Australian strikes linger on with no real breakthrough. -In the economic calendar, all eyes will be on Friday, when the European Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) numbers will be published. With all segments in contraction, any uptick could translate into increasing demand for Natural Gas in the European bloc. -The Norwegian Troll field has is set to reopen, according to a statement. This means higher gas flows toward Europe. -The Freeport production site is already having its effect in LNG volumes picking up on the markets. -European gas storage is expected to be enough to cover the upcoming winter. According to current estimates and with storage at 93%, Europe is expected to end the winter season with 44% of its supply left. -Recent weather models point to still mild temperatures in the old continent, with on average 20 degrees Celsius in the northern half of Europe. The demand for gas in this period compared with last year is already substantially smaller. >Natural Gas Technical Analysis: A move higher on bleak outlook Natural Gas is in a textbook trade from a technical point of view. Price action has broken back above the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) last week and even confirmed with a test for support on the downside and a bounce higher on Tuesday. This can be perceived as a substantial bullish signal which could push prices up to $3. As already mentioned, $3 is the target and a hard nut that needs to be cracked. Seeing the current equilibrium, a catalyst is needed to move the needle upwards. That could come with more supply disruptions from Australia or sudden changes in the current gas storage levels in Europe due to a sudden peak in demand. In such events, Gas prices could rally to $3.20, testing the upper band of the ascending trend channel. On the downside, the 200-day SMA at $2.89 has been turned into support. Should that give way on a downside move, some area will be crossed before the next support kicks in at $2.73. This level aligns with the 55-day SMA, which is likely to step in to avoid any nosedive moves in the commodity. *Soource: fxstreet

Bolivia’s President Calls on South American Countries to Ditch US Dollar, Bolster Alliances With China and BRICS Bolivia’s President Luis Alberto Arce Catacora (Lucho Arce) has urged members and associated states of the Mercosur trade bloc to de-dollarize and establish stronger strategic alliances with international organizations, including the BRICS group. “We are experiencing a crucial moment of transition towards a multipolar world that guarantees a balance of powers and respects the principle of non-interference,” he emphasized.

Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors from ECOWAS are advancing plans for the ECO, a single currency aimed at enhancing economic integration and development in West Africa, despite past setbacks and regional challenges.

The encryption industry has actively lobbied Trump in recent years, trying to change his view on Bitcoin. From initial skepticism to becoming a supporter, Trump has established a close relationship with crypto companies, even promising to create a national Bitcoin reserve. This lobbying effort has brought economic benefits to the encryption industry and influenced U.S. policy.

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen predicts a gradual decline in the dollar's global reserve share but notes no alternatives currently match its dominance. Despite some countries seeking alternatives, Yellen emphasizes the U.S.'s unique financial advantages.